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Red431
1868134.5
7170101.1
1241195.3
Blue65
7167102.0
656391.8
5787121.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344197010030040050060070043165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195.310.0
128.9139.0
Auto23.1
Teleop148.3
End23.4
red by 74.0
5787
#11
121.312.9
77.790.6
Auto15.1
Teleop91.0
End15.5
Second
1868
#14
134.59.9
103.6113.5
Auto19.3
Teleop103.5
End11.2
red by 32.5
7167
#17
102.09.5
77.787.2
Auto13.7
Teleop75.2
End15.3
Third
7170
#29
101.19.5
77.787.2
Auto16.1
Teleop80.4
End7.9
red by 9.3
6563
#28
91.87.9
77.385.3
Auto11.6
Teleop71.6
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed