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Qual 172018 Canadian Pacific Regional
Red206
6485120.2
6390161.0
7158122.9
Blue351
7190116.4
1241195.3
7135103.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2343060100200400500600206351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6390
#6
161.08.0
123.7→131.8
Auto16.9
Teleop118.5
End28.4
blue by 34.3
1241
#1
195.38.7
149.0→157.7
Auto23.1
Teleop148.3
End23.4
Second
7158
#13
122.94.0
92.4→96.5
Auto16.8
Teleop89.6
End16.1
red by 6.5
7190
#9
116.45.0
97.3→102.3
Auto12.9
Teleop95.7
End9.2
Third
6485
#18
120.27.4
86.8→94.2
Auto11.4
Teleop91.3
End22.6
red by 16.7
7135
#26
103.53.7
92.8→96.5
Auto14.3
Teleop82.8
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed