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Qual 372018 Canadian Pacific Regional
Red289
7190116.4
2643128.1
4334167.1
Blue144
5787121.3
511893.2
1241195.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255324100200400500600289144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4334
#4
167.11.8
150.6→152.4
Auto18.7
Teleop131.5
End16.5
blue by 28.2
1241
#1
195.37.2
180.2→187.4
Auto23.1
Teleop148.3
End23.4
Second
2643
#15
128.10.4
121.8→121.3
Auto15.5
Teleop98.6
End17.8
red by 6.8
5787
#11
121.34.3
118.4→122.7
Auto15.1
Teleop91.0
End15.5
Third
7190
#9
116.40.9
111.1→110.2
Auto12.9
Teleop95.7
End9.2
red by 23.2
5118
#20
93.20.5
96.6→96.1
Auto13.1
Teleop72.7
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed