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Red272
6364125.2
7167102.0
7169131.6
Blue159
7135103.5
398587.7
7170101.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3222030100400500600272159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131.64.2
116.5120.7
Auto15.3
Teleop99.9
End17.5
red by 28.0
7135
#26
103.50.6
104.5103.9
Auto14.3
Teleop82.8
End7.9
Second
6364
#22
125.24.3
114.2118.5
Auto13.3
Teleop96.0
End13.5
red by 24.1
7170
#29
101.10.3
99.7100.0
Auto16.1
Teleop80.4
End7.9
Third
7167
#17
102.02.1
93.495.5
Auto13.7
Teleop75.2
End15.3
red by 14.3
3985
#27
87.70.3
90.790.4
Auto14.7
Teleop62.8
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed