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Red267
4627141.9
7158122.9
6351103.7
Blue175
1482111.1
1868134.5
6364125.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267297100200400500267175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141.90.2
138.1138.3
Auto18.7
Teleop105.8
End18.5
red by 7.4
1868
#14
134.50.1
135.3135.2
Auto19.3
Teleop103.5
End11.2
Second
7158
#13
122.92.7
115.3118.0
Auto16.8
Teleop89.6
End16.1
blue by 2.3
6364
#22
125.22.7
121.2123.9
Auto13.3
Teleop96.0
End13.5
Third
103.71.3
99.8101.1
Auto15.7
Teleop83.7
End1.9
blue by 7.3
1482
#23
111.11.7
116.3114.5
Auto14.0
Teleop89.1
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsMissed6%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed