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Red394
4334167.1
511893.2
4627141.9
Blue207
7262113.1
462594.8
5078133.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343223100300400500394207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.12.5
161.2163.7
Auto18.7
Teleop131.5
End16.5
red by 33.3
5078
#21
133.81.5
129.2130.7
Auto13.9
Teleop97.5
End27.7
Second
141.90.5
138.8139.2
Auto18.7
Teleop105.8
End18.5
red by 28.8
7262
#16
113.12.0
111.1113.1
Auto16.5
Teleop85.7
End15.0
Third
5118
#20
93.20.5
91.592.0
Auto13.1
Teleop72.7
End8.3
blue by 1.5
4625
#30
94.81.7
96.594.8
Auto14.5
Teleop76.1
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed