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Red409
6390161.0
6406156.7
7190116.4
Blue143
7173106.6
7169131.6
6364125.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3052180100400500600700409143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
161.012.2
100.9113.1
Auto16.9
Teleop118.5
End28.4
red by 29.4
131.612.9
77.790.6
Auto15.3
Teleop99.9
End17.5
Second
156.79.2
97.1106.3
Auto14.5
Teleop124.1
End21.9
red by 31.6
6364
#22
125.210.3
78.188.3
Auto13.3
Teleop96.0
End13.5
Third
116.410.3
77.788.0
Auto12.9
Teleop95.7
End9.2
red by 9.8
7173
#19
106.610.4
77.788.1
Auto16.8
Teleop78.8
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed