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Red289
7190116.4
4627141.9
5078133.8
Blue246
2643128.1
6406156.7
7167102.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293307100200400500600289246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141.90.4
140.2140.6
Auto18.7
Teleop105.8
End18.5
blue by 14.8
156.70.6
155.5156.1
Auto14.5
Teleop124.1
End21.9
Second
5078
#21
133.80.5
131.9132.3
Auto13.9
Teleop97.5
End27.7
red by 5.7
2643
#15
128.10.3
127.5127.8
Auto15.5
Teleop98.6
End17.8
Third
116.40.3
114.9115.2
Auto12.9
Teleop95.7
End9.2
red by 14.4
7167
#17
102.00.4
101.3101.6
Auto13.7
Teleop75.2
End15.3