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Red138
5846156.9
999894.8
9999119.2
Blue298
4151100.0
181160.4
172121.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28931005001,0001,5002,000138298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5846
#16
156.90.0
156.9156.9
Auto21.7
Teleop118.4
End14.6
blue by 3.5
181
#2
160.40.0
160.4160.4
Auto18.7
Teleop115.2
End26.9
Second
9999
#12
119.20.0
119.2119.2
Auto15.4
Teleop93.0
End11.6
blue by 2.4
172
#7
121.60.0
121.6121.6
Auto16.3
Teleop94.7
End7.5
Third
9998
#17
94.80.0
94.894.8
Auto13.5
Teleop76.4
End8.4
blue by 5.1
100.00.0
100.0100.0
Auto12.7
Teleop78.5
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest odds23%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss odds4%Face the Boss odds