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Red46
176193.2
4151100.0
6201155.7
Blue357
88175.0
181160.4
157138.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions226399060080046357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6201
#11
155.70.0
155.7155.7
Auto19.5
Teleop123.8
End16.3
blue by 19.4
88
#4
175.00.0
175.0175.0
Auto22.2
Teleop135.5
End17.5
Second
100.00.0
100.0100.0
Auto12.7
Teleop78.5
End12.3
blue by 60.4
181
#2
160.40.0
160.4160.4
Auto18.7
Teleop115.2
End26.9
Third
93.20.0
93.293.2
Auto14.6
Teleop76.2
End4.0
blue by 45.1
157
#6
138.40.0
138.4138.4
Auto18.4
Teleop108.2
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest odds85%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds7%Face the Boss odds