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Red172
1965122.3
125209.2
176193.2
Blue314
1768134.6
181160.4
2877184.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24239306008001,000172314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#13
209.20.0
209.2209.2
Auto24.2
Teleop162.1
End18.4
red by 25.0
184.20.0
184.2184.2
Auto21.6
Teleop146.7
End19.6
Second
1965
#15
122.30.0
122.3122.3
Auto15.9
Teleop92.5
End13.8
blue by 38.1
181
#2
160.40.0
160.4160.4
Auto18.7
Teleop115.2
End26.9
Third
93.20.0
93.293.2
Auto14.6
Teleop76.2
End4.0
blue by 41.4
134.60.0
134.6134.6
Auto18.3
Teleop103.9
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest odds54%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss odds10%Face the Boss odds