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Red225
157138.4
2084129.4
5846156.9
Blue296
2877184.2
1965122.3
181160.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2654050100200500600700800225296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5846
#16
156.90.0
156.9156.9
Auto21.7
Teleop118.4
End14.6
blue by 27.3
184.20.0
184.2184.2
Auto21.6
Teleop146.7
End19.6
Second
157
#6
138.40.0
138.4138.4
Auto18.4
Teleop108.2
End12.5
blue by 22.0
181
#2
160.40.0
160.4160.4
Auto18.7
Teleop115.2
End26.9
Third
2084
#10
129.40.0
129.4129.4
Auto17.6
Teleop102.3
End9.7
red by 7.1
1965
#15
122.30.0
122.3122.3
Auto15.9
Teleop92.5
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest odds49%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss odds9%Face the Boss odds