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Red198
157138.4
2877184.2
9999119.2
Blue150
6201155.7
999894.8
1768134.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3522690200400600800198150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.20.0
184.2184.2
Auto21.6
Teleop146.7
End19.6
red by 28.5
6201
#11
155.70.0
155.7155.7
Auto19.5
Teleop123.8
End16.3
Second
157
#6
138.40.0
138.4138.4
Auto18.4
Teleop108.2
End12.5
red by 3.8
134.60.0
134.6134.6
Auto18.3
Teleop103.9
End17.8
Third
9999
#12
119.20.0
119.2119.2
Auto15.4
Teleop93.0
End11.6
red by 24.3
9998
#17
94.80.0
94.894.8
Auto13.5
Teleop76.4
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest odds50%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds5%Face the Boss odds