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Red312
3647162.8
597160.2
5124155.2
Blue469
4276155.1
5102138.2
4322159.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386338200300500600312469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
#15
162.80.5
162.3162.8
Auto16.7
Teleop118.4
End31.6
red by 3.8
4322
#25
159.00.2
159.4159.2
Auto20.9
Teleop113.2
End25.4
Second
597
#7
160.20.6
159.5160.2
Auto22.1
Teleop117.8
End23.2
red by 5.1
155.10.2
154.5154.6
Auto20.9
Teleop117.1
End17.1
Third
5124
#22
155.20.4
155.6155.2
Auto17.3
Teleop118.6
End18.5
red by 17.0
138.20.9
135.7136.6
Auto16.9
Teleop104.0
End20.3