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Red291
2637149.8
3453124.7
4255127.2
Blue310
3390114.1
6382108.6
5124155.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287280240260300320340291310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2637
#14
149.80.6
135.0135.6
Auto21.1
Teleop114.4
End12.3
blue by 5.5
5124
#22
155.21.4
148.8150.2
Auto17.3
Teleop118.6
End18.5
Second
4255
#18
127.20.2
125.5125.2
Auto17.0
Teleop97.5
End12.7
red by 13.2
3390
#32
114.116.4
71.087.4
Auto15.8
Teleop86.1
End10.6
Third
3453
#35
124.715.8
76.292.0
Auto14.6
Teleop96.5
End14.8
red by 16.1
6382
#12
108.62.6
96.293.5
Auto17.2
Teleop83.9
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed