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Qual 122018 Aerospace Valley Regional
Red286
3453124.7
5102138.2
981130.4
Blue313
980121.8
5474108.2
5805159.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2783250100200400500600286313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5102
#8
138.21.6
110.3→111.8
Auto16.9
Teleop104.0
End20.3
blue by 21.5
5805
#27
159.82.6
156.5→159.1
Auto18.9
Teleop117.6
End24.4
Second
981
#20
130.42.3
128.0→130.3
Auto17.8
Teleop95.5
End15.3
red by 8.7
980
#31
121.82.2
130.8→128.5
Auto14.7
Teleop94.4
End12.4
Third
3453
#35
124.710.2
92.0→102.2
Auto14.6
Teleop96.5
End14.8
red by 16.4
5474
#33
108.21.3
104.4→105.8
Auto15.7
Teleop83.5
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed46%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed