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Qual 162018 Aerospace Valley Regional
Red283
702140.5
4255127.2
6382108.6
Blue284
3453124.7
4322159.0
980121.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions240341100200300400500600700283284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
702
#21
140.50.6
137.0→137.6
Auto19.5
Teleop105.4
End13.8
blue by 18.5
4322
#25
159.01.9
151.5→153.4
Auto20.9
Teleop113.2
End25.4
Second
4255
#18
127.20.4
124.9→124.4
Auto17.0
Teleop97.5
End12.7
red by 2.5
3453
#35
124.77.6
102.2→109.8
Auto14.6
Teleop96.5
End14.8
Third
6382
#12
108.60.3
92.6→92.3
Auto17.2
Teleop83.9
End7.0
blue by 13.2
980
#31
121.81.5
128.5→127.1
Auto14.7
Teleop94.4
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed