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Red500
6072140.7
4470137.5
294187.6
Blue146
1160146.6
702140.5
2429119.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34130305001,0001,500500146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#4
187.61.0
164.4165.4
Auto26.1
Teleop138.1
End25.8
red by 41.0
1160
#11
146.60.2
145.0144.8
Auto20.0
Teleop104.5
End19.6
Second
6072
#13
140.70.3
131.3131.6
Auto18.4
Teleop108.9
End13.8
red by 0.2
702
#21
140.50.5
137.6138.1
Auto19.5
Teleop105.4
End13.8
Third
4470
#10
137.56.8
108.5115.3
Auto18.8
Teleop93.3
End29.9
red by 17.6
2429
#26
119.91.9
116.4118.3
Auto17.3
Teleop87.7
End16.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed