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Red198
597160.2
3669120.5
5474108.2
Blue314
2429119.9
294187.6
5102138.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262337100200300400500198314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
597
#7
160.21.3
139.5140.8
Auto22.1
Teleop117.8
End23.2
blue by 27.4
294
#4
187.63.4
156.3159.7
Auto26.1
Teleop138.1
End25.8
Second
3669
#24
120.51.6
118.1116.4
Auto19.6
Teleop88.2
End9.9
blue by 17.8
138.21.2
109.1110.3
Auto16.9
Teleop104.0
End20.3
Third
5474
#33
108.20.7
103.7104.4
Auto15.7
Teleop83.5
End10.7
blue by 11.7
2429
#26
119.91.4
111.6113.0
Auto17.3
Teleop87.7
End16.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed