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Red280
6060117.9
4191126.6
4276155.1
Blue382
4470137.5
294187.6
2493114.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions298334100200400500600280382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.11.2
151.0152.2
Auto20.9
Teleop117.1
End17.1
blue by 32.5
294
#4
187.61.8
173.1174.9
Auto26.1
Teleop138.1
End25.8
Second
4191
#34
126.60.5
126.9126.5
Auto13.2
Teleop100.8
End13.1
blue by 11.0
4470
#10
137.51.0
135.2134.2
Auto18.8
Teleop93.3
End29.9
Third
6060
#23
117.90.6
120.1119.5
Auto17.0
Teleop84.7
End16.5
red by 3.1
2493
#17
114.80.2
112.8112.6
Auto16.1
Teleop84.9
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsEarned