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Red345
5102138.2
980121.8
330199.4
Blue262
5012157.9
2637149.8
233996.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362261100200300400500600345262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#2
199.41.5
189.9191.4
Auto24.0
Teleop145.4
End31.1
red by 41.5
157.91.7
145.4147.1
Auto20.3
Teleop116.5
End24.9
Second
138.22.7
123.8126.5
Auto16.9
Teleop104.0
End20.3
blue by 11.5
2637
#14
149.81.9
143.1145.1
Auto21.1
Teleop114.4
End12.3
Third
980
#31
121.80.6
123.9123.4
Auto14.7
Teleop94.4
End12.4
red by 24.9
2339
#29
96.81.8
97.495.5
Auto16.7
Teleop72.5
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed