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Red428
2658151.8
3309208.1
58597.1
Blue275
5805159.8
3453124.7
3669120.5
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions366280100200400500600428275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
208.10.8
199.2200.1
Auto27.4
Teleop148.2
End32.7
red by 48.4
5805
#27
159.80.7
160.6159.9
Auto18.9
Teleop117.6
End24.4
Second
2658
#16
151.80.8
144.9145.7
Auto21.3
Teleop110.6
End21.7
red by 27.1
3453
#35
124.72.4
120.6122.9
Auto14.6
Teleop96.5
End14.8
Third
585
#30
97.10.5
96.295.7
Auto16.0
Teleop73.3
End8.8
blue by 23.4
3669
#24
120.50.6
118.0118.6
Auto19.6
Teleop88.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed