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Red365
3453124.7
2658151.8
294187.6
Blue434
597160.2
1160146.6
2637149.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37133302006008001,0001,2001,400365434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#4
187.61.8
181.7183.5
Auto26.1
Teleop138.1
End25.8
red by 27.4
597
#7
160.22.5
156.4158.9
Auto22.1
Teleop117.8
End23.2
Second
2658
#16
151.81.2
148.1149.4
Auto21.3
Teleop110.6
End21.7
red by 2.0
2637
#14
149.80.1
149.7149.8
Auto21.1
Teleop114.4
End12.3
Third
3453
#35
124.70.4
125.1124.7
Auto14.6
Teleop96.5
End14.8
blue by 21.9
1160
#11
146.60.2
146.3146.5
Auto20.0
Teleop104.5
End19.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed