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Red227
2658151.8
5124155.2
4470137.5
Blue417
2637149.8
4322159.0
399190.3
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302352150200250400450500227417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5124
#22
155.21.7
150.2151.9
Auto17.3
Teleop118.6
End18.5
blue by 35.1
399
#6
190.30.1
182.2182.2
Auto20.6
Teleop138.7
End31.4
Second
2658
#16
151.82.0
138.9140.9
Auto21.3
Teleop110.6
End21.7
blue by 7.2
4322
#25
159.01.5
150.0151.5
Auto20.9
Teleop113.2
End25.4
Third
4470
#10
137.510.8
89.8100.6
Auto18.8
Teleop93.3
End29.9
blue by 12.2
2637
#14
149.80.2
135.6135.8
Auto21.1
Teleop114.4
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed