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Red287
399190.3
2637149.8
702140.5
Blue433
597160.2
4191126.6
3309208.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions347357250300400450500287433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#6
190.30.7
189.5190.1
Auto20.6
Teleop138.7
End31.4
blue by 17.8
208.10.8
204.5205.3
Auto27.4
Teleop148.2
End32.7
Second
2637
#14
149.80.9
148.8149.7
Auto21.1
Teleop114.4
End12.3
blue by 10.4
597
#7
160.22.2
154.2156.4
Auto22.1
Teleop117.8
End23.2
Third
702
#21
140.51.1
141.6140.5
Auto19.5
Teleop105.4
End13.8
red by 13.9
4191
#34
126.60.7
127.2126.6
Auto13.2
Teleop100.8
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed28%Face the Boss oddsEarned