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Red283
3255185.4
1538186.2
4486147.4
Blue394
3255B128.1
5199184.1
2658151.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3772810100200500600700800283394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.20.0
186.2186.2
Auto20.3
Teleop142.5
End24.1
red by 2.1
184.10.0
184.1184.1
Auto25.2
Teleop136.4
End22.1
Second
185.40.0
185.5185.5
Auto22.2
Teleop137.9
End23.1
red by 34.2
2658
#20
151.20.1
151.2151.1
Auto18.1
Teleop112.3
End22.9
Third
4486
#14
147.40.3
148.0147.7
Auto15.0
Teleop108.4
End21.2
red by 19.3
128.10.8
126.3127.1
Auto15.2
Teleop99.1
End16.1