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Red196
4014130.9
7517102.5
5514107.9
Blue366
3255185.4
2658151.2
4738136.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2004230600800196366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4014
#11
130.90.6
132.6132.0
Auto19.1
Teleop100.6
End9.5
blue by 54.5
185.40.0
185.0185.0
Auto22.2
Teleop137.9
End23.1
Second
107.91.0
106.7107.6
Auto14.8
Teleop85.5
End5.0
blue by 43.2
2658
#20
151.20.3
151.2151.5
Auto18.1
Teleop112.3
End22.9
Third
7517
#15
102.57.6
91.398.9
Auto12.9
Teleop79.4
End10.6
blue by 34.2
136.70.7
137.9137.2
Auto20.4
Teleop103.5
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed