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Red317
2102B108.8
1266133.9
2543137.5
Blue252
4486147.4
3965144.2
5474106.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310304200250350400450317252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2543
#25
137.50.7
138.0137.3
Auto16.8
Teleop104.7
End14.6
blue by 9.9
4486
#14
147.41.0
147.8148.8
Auto15.0
Teleop108.4
End21.2
Second
1266
#12
133.90.4
133.5133.1
Auto19.1
Teleop105.8
End8.4
blue by 10.4
3965
#32
144.21.9
148.0146.0
Auto19.6
Teleop100.8
End22.6
Third
108.84.2
97.2101.3
Auto14.3
Teleop85.3
End10.4
red by 2.6
5474
#30
106.21.0
108.2107.2
Auto14.6
Teleop82.4
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed