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Red283
3647160.0
6926117.2
1622179.6
Blue208
3128170.6
5012171.0
5477106.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30835202004006008001,000283208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1622
#17
179.62.0
185.2183.2
Auto19.1
Teleop137.4
End16.1
red by 8.6
5012
#21
171.00.4
172.6172.2
Auto21.2
Teleop123.7
End25.8
Second
160.00.3
159.8160.1
Auto14.8
Teleop116.0
End28.1
blue by 10.6
3128
#28
170.61.3
176.2174.9
Auto19.8
Teleop121.3
End25.8
Third
117.20.1
117.6117.8
Auto15.9
Teleop94.4
End3.7
red by 11.0
5477
#10
106.20.7
105.6106.2
Auto17.1
Teleop80.5
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsMissed28%Face the Boss oddsMissed