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Red156
980122.5
2984129.4
5877118.9
Blue257
5514107.9
3965144.2
1266133.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3283160100200400500600700800156257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2984
#36
129.41.4
132.7134.1
Auto17.6
Teleop98.5
End11.4
blue by 14.8
3965
#32
144.20.5
147.8148.3
Auto19.6
Teleop100.8
End22.6
Second
980
#35
122.50.4
124.8125.1
Auto15.7
Teleop93.5
End15.2
blue by 11.4
1266
#12
133.91.4
131.6133.0
Auto19.1
Teleop105.8
End8.4
Third
118.90.8
118.7119.5
Auto13.3
Teleop87.8
End16.4
red by 11.0
107.90.6
107.0107.6
Auto14.8
Teleop85.5
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed59%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed