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Red380
3925136.7
7517102.5
5199184.1
Blue156
2984129.4
4486147.4
4160134.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3472720200400600800380156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.10.9
185.4184.6
Auto25.2
Teleop136.4
End22.1
red by 36.8
4486
#14
147.40.6
148.8149.4
Auto15.0
Teleop108.4
End21.2
Second
3925
#18
136.70.9
135.8136.7
Auto16.9
Teleop103.9
End18.5
red by 2.5
4160
#31
134.22.0
136.2134.2
Auto17.8
Teleop105.4
End7.0
Third
7517
#15
102.53.5
98.9102.5
Auto12.9
Teleop79.4
End10.6
blue by 26.9
2984
#36
129.42.5
131.9129.4
Auto17.6
Teleop98.5
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed