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Red237
5514107.9
5474106.2
3255B128.1
Blue220
3128170.6
4486B96.6
1622179.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1883920100300500600700800237220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
128.15.1
116.4121.5
Auto15.2
Teleop99.1
End16.1
blue by 51.5
1622
#17
179.62.0
183.2181.2
Auto19.1
Teleop137.4
End16.1
Second
107.90.1
107.6107.6
Auto14.8
Teleop85.5
End5.0
blue by 62.7
3128
#28
170.61.6
174.9173.3
Auto19.8
Teleop121.3
End25.8
Third
5474
#30
106.21.0
107.2106.2
Auto14.6
Teleop82.4
End9.1
red by 9.5
96.61.2
95.596.6
Auto10.3
Teleop76.5
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed