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Red334
4738136.7
4486147.4
2102153.7
Blue218
6926117.2
1572168.2
3255B128.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34531102004006008001,000334218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2102
#16
153.70.9
152.6153.5
Auto21.1
Teleop117.3
End13.8
blue by 14.5
1572
#19
168.22.2
165.0167.2
Auto21.1
Teleop128.4
End18.4
Second
4486
#14
147.40.6
146.6147.2
Auto15.0
Teleop108.4
End21.2
red by 19.3
128.123.6
128.1104.5
Auto15.2
Teleop99.1
End16.1
Third
136.71.6
135.0136.6
Auto20.4
Teleop103.5
End12.6
red by 19.5
117.20.1
117.9118.0
Auto15.9
Teleop94.4
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed