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Red237
3128170.6
1572168.2
2984129.4
Blue253
502596.7
3255185.4
4014130.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39527102006008001,000237253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3128
#28
170.60.4
176.7176.2
Auto19.8
Teleop121.3
End25.8
blue by 14.7
185.40.3
184.7185.0
Auto22.2
Teleop137.9
End23.1
Second
1572
#19
168.21.3
167.2168.4
Auto21.1
Teleop128.4
End18.4
red by 37.3
4014
#11
130.90.3
133.0132.6
Auto19.1
Teleop100.6
End9.5
Third
2984
#36
129.40.4
134.1133.7
Auto17.6
Teleop98.5
End11.4
red by 32.7
5025
#27
96.70.2
97.297.3
Auto15.7
Teleop76.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsMissed70%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed