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Red412
4201130.4
2122209.6
3309221.2
Blue310
6072152.3
5012171.7
3476195.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37134202006008001,000412310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
221.20.1
221.0221.2
Auto22.0
Teleop163.2
End38.0
red by 26.2
3476
#14
195.00.3
194.7195.0
Auto21.9
Teleop147.6
End24.4
Second
209.60.5
210.1209.6
Auto23.1
Teleop154.0
End27.8
red by 38.0
171.70.3
171.4171.7
Auto20.4
Teleop126.2
End27.5
Third
4201
#28
130.40.2
130.6130.4
Auto19.9
Teleop100.0
End12.2
blue by 21.9
6072
#19
152.30.6
151.7152.3
Auto20.1
Teleop119.0
End16.2