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Red226
687172.7
4150.3
7157120.4
Blue344
5012171.7
3473143.1
5966116.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3372950100200400500600700226344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#6
172.70.2
171.0171.2
Auto24.8
Teleop132.0
End16.4
red by 1.0
171.70.0
159.4159.4
Auto20.4
Teleop126.2
End27.5
Second
4
#34
150.31.3
149.5150.8
Auto17.8
Teleop116.9
End14.6
red by 7.2
3473
#13
143.10.3
142.3142.6
Auto17.1
Teleop113.1
End12.2
Third
7157
#30
120.41.0
113.6114.6
Auto15.9
Teleop96.9
End7.1
red by 3.8
5966
#32
116.52.6
111.8114.4
Auto15.6
Teleop87.7
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsMissed45%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed