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Red238
5124153.3
4619122.7
7157120.4
Blue391
1197173.0
5810135.0
2122209.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1884260100300500600700238391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5124
#10
153.31.8
151.9150.2
Auto18.0
Teleop116.5
End18.2
blue by 56.4
209.60.0
214.6214.6
Auto23.1
Teleop154.0
End27.8
Second
4619
#29
122.70.8
119.3120.1
Auto16.1
Teleop97.6
End9.4
blue by 50.3
1197
#18
173.00.3
169.1168.8
Auto19.5
Teleop135.6
End18.0
Third
7157
#30
120.40.8
114.9115.7
Auto15.9
Teleop96.9
End7.1
blue by 14.7
5810
#12
135.00.7
128.6129.3
Auto20.7
Teleop105.0
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed63%Face the Boss oddsEarned