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Red425
3476195.0
5966116.5
399200.5
Blue158
6535108.7
4322151.8
1160128.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4242170100300500600700425158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#9
200.50.9
203.3202.5
Auto22.8
Teleop151.9
End23.1
red by 48.7
4322
#15
151.81.5
157.1155.6
Auto20.4
Teleop110.3
End21.3
Second
3476
#14
195.00.1
197.4197.3
Auto21.9
Teleop147.6
End24.4
red by 66.2
1160
#35
128.82.0
143.2141.2
Auto18.2
Teleop96.1
End12.9
Third
5966
#32
116.50.4
117.3116.9
Auto15.6
Teleop87.7
End12.8
red by 7.8
6535
#22
108.70.2
110.4110.2
Auto15.6
Teleop82.9
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsMissed49%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
47%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed