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Red232
696149.1
2659162.3
968159.9
Blue316
3473143.1
6535108.7
3476195.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3482910100200400500600232316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2659
#17
162.30.0
163.6163.6
Auto22.2
Teleop121.5
End21.8
blue by 32.8
3476
#14
195.00.2
197.3197.5
Auto21.9
Teleop147.6
End24.4
Second
968
#20
159.90.0
166.2166.2
Auto21.7
Teleop122.8
End13.4
red by 16.8
3473
#13
143.10.4
144.5144.9
Auto17.1
Teleop113.1
End12.2
Third
696
#16
149.11.2
155.4154.2
Auto21.7
Teleop116.8
End10.7
red by 40.4
6535
#22
108.70.5
110.2109.7
Auto15.6
Teleop82.9
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned46%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed23%Face the Boss oddsMissed