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Red195
2493117.7
5857115.4
4999122.0
Blue436
3309221.2
687172.7
5810135.0
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1784330100300500600700800195436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4999
#27
122.00.3
119.8120.1
Auto18.1
Teleop89.5
End13.9
blue by 99.2
221.20.0
213.6213.6
Auto22.0
Teleop163.2
End38.0
Second
2493
#25
117.70.1
114.5114.6
Auto17.1
Teleop87.0
End13.3
blue by 55.0
687
#6
172.70.5
171.5172.0
Auto24.8
Teleop132.0
End16.4
Third
5857
#36
115.40.7
121.3120.6
Auto15.7
Teleop94.3
End2.0
blue by 19.6
5810
#12
135.00.1
130.3130.4
Auto20.7
Teleop105.0
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed36%Face the Boss oddsEarned