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Red261
399200.5
4619122.7
4999122.0
Blue434
5012171.7
6072152.3
2659162.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2893420100200400500600700261434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#9
200.50.1
202.1202.0
Auto22.8
Teleop151.9
End23.1
red by 28.8
171.71.3
165.3166.5
Auto20.4
Teleop126.2
End27.5
Second
4619
#29
122.70.5
122.8123.3
Auto16.1
Teleop97.6
End9.4
blue by 39.6
2659
#17
162.31.0
163.1162.0
Auto22.2
Teleop121.5
End21.8
Third
4999
#27
122.00.4
120.4120.8
Auto18.1
Teleop89.5
End13.9
blue by 30.3
6072
#19
152.30.3
144.2143.9
Auto20.1
Teleop119.0
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsEarned