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Red212
3476195.0
7025104.4
4276144.6
Blue429
2122209.6
7230118.0
3309221.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2264310100300500600700800212429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#14
195.00.8
196.4195.6
Auto21.9
Teleop147.6
End24.4
blue by 26.2
221.21.1
214.7215.9
Auto22.0
Teleop163.2
End38.0
Second
4276
#33
144.60.8
150.6149.9
Auto22.1
Teleop107.8
End12.6
blue by 65.0
209.60.2
213.3213.0
Auto23.1
Teleop154.0
End27.8
Third
7025
#31
104.41.0
106.8105.8
Auto13.5
Teleop84.1
End-1.0
blue by 13.5
7230
#23
118.00.9
119.1118.2
Auto17.7
Teleop89.2
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsMissed87%Face the Boss oddsEarned