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Red185
2493117.7
696149.1
4619122.7
Blue341
4150.3
4322151.8
4999122.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2893330100200400500600700185341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#16
149.11.0
151.2150.1
Auto21.7
Teleop116.8
End10.7
blue by 2.7
4322
#15
151.80.4
150.6150.2
Auto20.4
Teleop110.3
End21.3
Second
4619
#29
122.70.3
123.3123.7
Auto16.1
Teleop97.6
End9.4
blue by 27.6
4
#34
150.30.3
150.2149.9
Auto17.8
Teleop116.9
End14.6
Third
2493
#25
117.71.2
115.2116.4
Auto17.1
Teleop87.0
End13.3
blue by 4.4
4999
#27
122.00.2
120.8121.0
Auto18.1
Teleop89.5
End13.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed