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Red154
5966116.5
687172.7
597174.5
Blue426
6535108.7
1197173.0
330190.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30534802006008001,0001,200154426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
597
#5
174.50.1
175.2175.1
Auto23.2
Teleop129.0
End23.0
blue by 15.9
330
#4
190.40.5
191.2190.7
Auto21.5
Teleop139.0
End26.2
Second
687
#6
172.70.1
174.2174.3
Auto24.8
Teleop132.0
End16.4
blue by 0.3
1197
#18
173.00.3
170.1170.4
Auto19.5
Teleop135.6
End18.0
Third
5966
#32
116.50.6
116.5117.1
Auto15.6
Teleop87.7
End12.8
red by 7.8
6535
#22
108.70.6
107.9107.3
Auto15.6
Teleop82.9
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsMissed43%Face the Boss oddsMissed