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Red382
6220125.0
4619122.7
3309221.2
Blue231
294164.0
330190.4
7230118.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2733670100200400500600700382231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
221.20.6
211.4210.8
Auto22.0
Teleop163.2
End38.0
red by 30.7
330
#4
190.40.8
199.0198.1
Auto21.5
Teleop139.0
End26.2
Second
6220
#11
125.01.3
107.7109.0
Auto16.2
Teleop91.2
End16.4
blue by 38.9
294
#24
164.00.5
186.3185.8
Auto23.8
Teleop120.0
End20.1
Third
4619
#29
122.71.4
115.4116.8
Auto16.1
Teleop97.6
End9.4
red by 4.7
7230
#23
118.00.1
125.0124.8
Auto17.7
Teleop89.2
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
25%Face the Boss oddsEarned46%Face the Boss oddsMissed