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Red377
2122209.6
6220125.0
3476195.0
Blue275
5810135.0
4201130.4
399200.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3932780100200500600700377275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
209.60.3
213.0213.4
Auto23.1
Teleop154.0
End27.8
red by 9.2
399
#9
200.50.5
201.8201.3
Auto22.8
Teleop151.9
End23.1
Second
3476
#14
195.01.1
195.6194.5
Auto21.9
Teleop147.6
End24.4
red by 60.0
5810
#12
135.01.0
132.0133.0
Auto20.7
Teleop105.0
End11.8
Third
6220
#11
125.00.4
123.3123.7
Auto16.2
Teleop91.2
End16.4
blue by 5.4
4201
#28
130.40.9
132.2131.3
Auto19.9
Teleop100.0
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
84%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed