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Red394
6072152.3
3309221.2
696149.1
Blue264
5857115.4
399200.5
5199184.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions369314100200400500600394264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
221.21.3
217.3218.6
Auto22.0
Teleop163.2
End38.0
red by 20.7
399
#9
200.50.1
201.3201.1
Auto22.8
Teleop151.9
End23.1
Second
6072
#19
152.31.7
146.1147.8
Auto20.1
Teleop119.0
End16.2
blue by 32.3
184.61.6
182.4184.0
Auto24.6
Teleop134.5
End25.1
Third
696
#16
149.10.0
148.9148.9
Auto21.7
Teleop116.8
End10.7
red by 33.7
5857
#36
115.41.9
117.3115.4
Auto15.7
Teleop94.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
40%Face the Boss oddsEarned10%Face the Boss oddsMissed