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Red321
294164.0
687172.7
2659162.3
Blue460
5810135.0
3476195.0
597174.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3273570100200300400500321460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#6
172.70.5
173.4172.9
Auto24.8
Teleop132.0
End16.4
blue by 22.3
3476
#14
195.01.0
194.5193.5
Auto21.9
Teleop147.6
End24.4
Second
294
#24
164.01.9
167.1165.2
Auto23.8
Teleop120.0
End20.1
blue by 10.6
597
#5
174.50.6
174.0173.4
Auto23.2
Teleop129.0
End23.0
Third
2659
#17
162.30.4
162.9162.5
Auto22.2
Teleop121.5
End21.8
red by 27.2
5810
#12
135.01.0
133.0134.0
Auto20.7
Teleop105.0
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss oddsEarned24%Face the Boss oddsEarned