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Red448
1323222.0
254241.0
199131.6
Blue234
1425190.6
5458139.9
1678246.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4213150100200500600700800448234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
241.00.3
240.7241.0
Auto25.3
Teleop177.3
End38.0
blue by 5.8
246.70.1
246.8246.7
Auto24.5
Teleop178.7
End43.4
Second
222.00.3
221.7222.0
Auto24.2
Teleop170.8
End26.3
red by 31.4
1425
#11
190.60.0
190.6190.6
Auto19.8
Teleop135.8
End34.5
Third
199
#38
131.60.2
131.4131.6
Auto18.9
Teleop101.4
End11.1
blue by 8.2
5458
#15
139.90.0
139.9139.9
Auto18.8
Teleop99.8
End21.5