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Red248
6814109.6
1671153.6
2643147.0
Blue261
1662145.5
2135138.4
6174125.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317330250300350400450248261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#12
153.60.3
153.9153.6
Auto22.2
Teleop108.8
End20.2
red by 8.1
1662
#14
145.50.0
145.5145.5
Auto19.3
Teleop106.6
End14.7
Second
2643
#43
147.00.0
146.9147.0
Auto18.0
Teleop112.8
End15.9
red by 8.5
2135
#23
138.40.1
138.8138.7
Auto21.8
Teleop97.8
End16.5
Third
109.60.3
109.3109.6
Auto15.8
Teleop83.2
End10.6
blue by 16.1
125.70.5
124.3124.9
Auto19.1
Teleop95.4
End12.8